Talk:Engineering Lab/@comment-199.241.203.29-20130510185336/@comment-4557698-20130511101334

Hmm, I grossly miscalculated the 1->4 chances. I know it's not calculus, but I have no idea how to say that in english. Still, you understood what I meant.

And, you misunderstood me on the rest. I understood perfectly the table. Also I never said anywhere about upgrading to L1. The only time I spoke about an L1 is FROM L1 to L4.

And by results, I mean those very chances we're talking about. Since they are approximations, I'll guess they don't come from the manifest, but are in fact coming from player testing. Now, upgrading something from L5 to L6, from L6 to L7 and so on, shows the same bar. According to community feedback, an L5->L6 and a L14->L15 have different chances, even though they show the same bar. Were the chances regarding that particular bar calculated by L5->L6 only, or considering every upgrade with that bar? If the latter, the chance is wrong. Even disregarding that particluar bit, those are still chances. It means that calculation shows that it's 1 in 200, but that may be due to bad luck. Case in point: never took me more than 40 trials, on more than 20-25 parts. No, I can't prove it. I could register it on video, but who says it's legit? Then again, I'll concede that maybe I am lucky and I am the anomaly. But 20 parts upgraded in 40 or less is still a significant figure.

As for "I never said less[er] than 1 in 200.", yes you did. ''"The last key says what the chance is, and it's not within 40 clicks.". ''That symbol means equal or less. Therefore, 1 in 200 or less.

@OP, table says 1 in 200 or less. I'd say 1 in 40. You may get it at your first try, or after one thousand.

@Anon, Kudos.